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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要聚焦长度偏倚生存数据与 EM 估计,仅提及经济学应用不足以归入所列经济计量细分方向。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Jing Qin
Jing Ning
Hao Liu
Yu Shen

长度偏倚数据的最大似然估计与 EM 算法

研究问题
长度偏倚且右删失的生存数据具有特殊结构时,如何构造适用的非参数与半参数估计,并处理失效率约束及协变量效应?
方法与思路
作者针对分布函数、递增失效率约束及 Cox 模型三种情形,基于含无限维参数的完整似然开发 EM 算法,并研究渐近性质。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称,估计量具有强一致性,Cox 模型下半参数估计渐近正态;模拟显示中等样本表现良好,并报告效率与删失稳健性比较。
阅读关注点
应核对长度偏倚与右删失的联合机制、完整似然构造、EM 收敛及约束实现,并检查效率比较和渐近结论所需条件。
阅读边界
仅据版本未注明的 OpenAlex 索引摘要;删失假设、比较范围与具体数值未说明,不能把稳健性扩展到任意机制或推断刊本变化。

原文摘要

Length-biased sampling has been well recognized in economics, industrial reliability, etiology applications, epidemiological, genetic and cancer screening studies. Length-biased right-censored data have a unique data structure different from traditional survival data. The nonparametric and semiparametric estimations and inference methods for traditional survival data are not directly applicable for length-biased right-censored data. We propose new expectation-maximization algorithms for estimations based on full likelihoods involving infinite dimensional parameters under three settings for length-biased data: estimating nonparametric distribution function, estimating nonparametric hazard function under an increasing failure rate constraint, and jointly estimating baseline hazards function and the covariate coefficients under the Cox proportional hazards model. Extensive empirical simulation studies show that the maximum likelihood estimators perform well with moderate sample sizes and lead to more efficient estimators compared to the estimating equation approaches. The proposed estimates are also more robust to various right-censoring mechanisms. We prove the strong consistency properties of the estimators, and establish the asymptotic normality of the semi-parametric maximum likelihood estimators under the Cox model using modern empirical processes theory. We apply the proposed methods to a prevalent cohort medical study. Supplemental materials are available online.

笔记与分组