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Accounting for Measurement Bias: A New Framework for Reliable Country Ranking in Large-Scale Educational Assessments

校正测量偏差:大型教育评估中国家排名的新框架

International Large-scale Assessments (ILSAs), such as the Program for International Student Assessment (PISA) and the Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS), are cornerstone tools for global educational research and policy-making. By benchmarking educational quality and performance trends, these assessments enable countries to evaluate and share effective pedagogical structures. Specifically, ILSAs employ Item Response Theory (IRT) models to rank…

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Sequential Knockoffs for Variable Selection in Reinforcement Learning

强化学习变量选择的序贯 Knockoffs 方法

In real-world applications of reinforcement learning, it is often challenging to obtain a state representation that is parsimonious and satisfies the Markov property without prior knowledge. Consequently, it is common practice to construct a state larger than necessary, e.g., by concatenating measurements over contiguous time points. However, needlessly increasing the dimension of the state may slow learning and obfuscate the learned policy. We introduce the notion of a…

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A Latent Variable Approach to Learning High-Dimensional Multivariate Longitudinal Data

高维多变量纵向数据的潜变量学习方法

High-dimensional multivariate longitudinal data, which arise when many outcome variables are measured repeatedly over time, are becoming increasingly common in social, behavioral and health sciences. We propose a latent variable model for drawing statistical inferences on covariate effects and predicting future outcomes based on high-dimensional multivariate longitudinal data. This model introduces unobserved factors to account for the between-variable and across-time…

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When Composite Likelihood meets Stochastic Approximation

复合似然与随机逼近的结合

A composite likelihood is an inference function derived by multiplying a set of likelihood components. This approach provides a flexible framework for drawing inferences when the likelihood function of a statistical model is computationally intractable. While composite likelihood has computational advantages, it can still be demanding when dealing with numerous likelihood components and a large sample size. This paper tackles this challenge by employing an approximation of…

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Yunxiao Chen and Gongjun Xu's contribution to the Discussion of ‘Vintage Factor Analysis with Varimax Performs Statistical Inference’ by Rohe & Zeng

陈云霄与徐恭军对《采用Varimax的经典因子分析可进行统计推断》的讨论

We congratulate Rohe and Zeng for this insightful paper that elegantly connects psychometric methods and statistical and machine learning applications. We would like to mention several lines of related research. First, the problem is closely related to the latent variable selection problems (e.g., Y. Chen et al., 2015; Xu & Shang, 2018), where regularised estimation procedures are proposed to learn sparse loading structures. In fact, the vsp procedure can be viewed as the…

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Structured Latent Factor Analysis for Large-scale Data: Identifiability, Estimability, and Their Implications

大规模数据的结构化潜因子分析:可识别性、可估性及其含义

–Latent factor models are widely used to measure unobserved latent traits in social and behavioral sciences, including psychology, education, and marketing. When used in a confirmatory manner, design information is incorporated as zero constraints on corresponding parameters, yielding structured (confirmatory) latent factor models. In this article, we study how such design information affects the identifiability and the estimation of a structured latent factor model.…

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Statistical Analysis of Q -Matrix Based Diagnostic Classification Models

基于 Q 矩阵的诊断分类模型统计分析

Diagnostic classification models (DMCs) have recently gained prominence in educational assessment, psychiatric evaluation, and many other disciplines. Central to the model specification is the so-called Q-matrix that provides a qualitative specification of the item-attribute relationship. In this article, we develop theories on the identifiability for the Q-matrix under the DINA and the DINO models. We further propose an estimation procedure for the Q-matrix through the…

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