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Short and Simple Confidence Intervals When the Directions of Some Effects Are Known

部分效应方向已知时的简短置信区间

Abstract We introduce adaptive confidence intervals on a parameter of interest in the presence of nuisance parameters, such as coefficients on control variables, with known signs. Our confidence intervals are trivial to compute and can provide significant length reductions relative to standard ones when the nuisance parameters are small. At the same time, they entail minimal length increases at any parameter values. We apply our confidence intervals to the linear regression…

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On asymptotic size distortions in the random coefficients logit model

随机系数Logit模型中的渐近检验尺寸失真

We show that, in the random coefficients logit model, standard inference procedures can suffer from asymptotic size distortions. The problem arises due to boundary issues and is aggravated by the standard parameterization of the model, in terms of standard deviations. For example, in case of a single random coefficient, the asymptotic size of the nominal 95% confidence interval obtained by inverting the two-sided t-test for the standard deviation equals 83.65%. In seeming…

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Subvector inference when the true parameter vector may be near or at the boundary

真实参数接近或位于边界时的子向量推断

Extremum estimators are not asymptotically normally distributed when the estimator satisfies the restrictions on the parameter space – such as the non-negativity of a variance parameter – andthe true parameter vector is near or at the boundary. This possible lack of asymptotic normality makes it difficult to construct tests for testing subvector hypotheses that control asymptotic size in a uniform sense and have good local asymptotic power irrespective of whether the true…

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