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Fighting against Malaria: Prevent Wars while Waiting for the “Miraculous” Vaccine

抗击疟疾:等待“神奇”疫苗时应预防战争

The World Health Organization estimates that 300 million clinical cases of malaria occur annually and observed that during the 80s and part of the 90s its incidence increased. In this paper, we explore the influence of refugees from civil wars on the incidence of malaria in the refugee-receiving countries. Using civil wars as an instrumental variable, we show that for each 1,000 refugees there are between 2,000 and 2,700 cases of malaria in the refugee-receiving country. On…

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GMM Estimation of Count-Panel-Data Models With Fixed Effects and Predetermined Instruments

固定效应与预定工具变量下计数面板模型的GMM估计

The 'traditional' approach to the estimation of count panel data models with fixed effects is the conditional maximum-likelihood estimator. This paper proposed a GMM estimator for count panel data models with fixed effects, based on a transformation of the conditional mean specification, that is consistent even when the explanatory variables are predetermined. Two applications are discussed: the relationship between patents and R&D expenditures and the explanation of…

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