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Estimating features of a distribution from binomial data

从二元响应数据估计潜在分布特征

We propose estimators of features of the distribution of an unobserved random variable W. What is observed is a sample of Y,V,X where a binary Y equals one when W exceeds a threshold V determined by experimental design, and X are covariates. Potential applications include bioassay and destructive duration analysis. Our empirical application is referendum contingent valuation in resource economics, where one is interested in features of the distribution of values W…

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Mixed MNL models for discrete response

离散响应的混合多项 Logit 模型

This paper considers mixed, or random coefficients, multinomial logit (MMNL) models for discrete response, and establishes the following results. Under mild regularity conditions, any discrete choice model derived from random utility maximization has choice probabilities that can be approximated as closely as one pleases by a MMNL model. Practical estimation of a parametric mixing family can be carried out by Maximum Simulated Likelihood Estimation or Method of Simulated…

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Simulation of multivariate normal rectangle probabilities and their derivatives theoretical and computational results

多元正态矩形概率及其导数的模拟:理论与计算结果

An extensive literature in econometrics and in numerical analysis has considered the problem of evaluating the multiple integral P(B; μ, Ω) = ∝ab n(v − μ, Ω)dv ≡ Ev1(V ϵ B), where V is a m-dimensional normal vector with mean μ, covariance matrix Ω, and density n(v − μ, Ω), and 1(V ϵ B) is an indicator for the event B = (V¦a < V < b). A leading case of such an integral is the negative orthant probability, where B = (V ¦V < 0). The problem is computationally difficult except…

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Estimation by Simulation

The authors extend Daniel McFadden's (1989) method of simulated moments to approximating efficient estimators in general estimation problems. The general approach applies a simulated bias correction to an approximation of the efficient score. They discuss a general trade-off in estimator inefficiency between bias correction and moment approximation. Copyright 1994 by MIT Press.

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A Method of Simulated Moments for Estimation of Discrete Response Models Without Numerical Integration

无需数值积分的离散响应模型模拟矩估计方法

This paper proposes a simple modification of a conventional generalized method of moments estimator for a discrete response model, replacing response probabilities that require numerical integration with estimators obtained by Monte Carlo simulation. This method of simulated moments does not require precise estimates of these probabilities, as the law of large numbers operating across observations controls simulation error, and, hence, can use simulations of practical size.…

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Estimation of Response Probabilities from Augmented Retrospective Observations

利用增补辅助信息的回溯观测估计响应概率

When augmented by suitable auxiliary information, retrospective data can identify response probabilities. The auxiliary information may take the form of data on marginal distributions or appropriate structural assumptions. When a combination of retrospective observation and auxiliary information suffices in principle to identify response probabilities, practical use of this fact requires that statistically sound and computationally tractable estimation methods be available.…

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Specification Tests for the Multinomial Logit Model

多项 Logit 模型的设定检验

Discrete choice models are now used in a variety of situations in applied econometrics. By far the model specification which is used most often is the multinomial logit model. Yet it is widely known that a potentially important drawback of the multinomial logit model is the independence from irrelevant alternatives property. While most analysts recognize the implications of the independence of irrelevant alternatives property, it has remained basically a maintained…

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