Conditional Tensor Diffusion: Distributional Counterfactual Learning and Inference
条件张量扩散:分布式反事实学习与推断
Causal inference guides operational and managerial decisions but remains challenging in high-dimensional panel or tensor settings, where decisions may depend on the joint conditional distribution of missing control outcomes. We develop \emph{Counterfactual Tucker Diffusion} (\CFTDiff), which integrates the treatment mask and latent Tucker structure into conditional diffusion to recover this distribution given observed control outcomes through efficient nonlinear score…