Theoretical Guarantees of Learning Ensembling Strategies with Applications to Time Series Forecasting
集成策略学习的理论保证及其时间序列预测应用
Ensembling is among the most popular tools in machine learning (ML) due to its effectiveness in minimizing variance and thus improving generalization. Most ensembling methods for black-box base learners fall under the umbrella of "stacked generalization," namely training an ML algorithm that takes the inferences from the base learners as input. While stacking has been widely applied in practice, its theoretical properties are poorly understood. In this paper, we prove a…