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双向聚类下的解析推断AI 解读

This paper studies analytic inference along two dimensions of clustering. In such setups, the commonly used approach has two drawbacks. First, the corresponding variance estimator is not necessarily positive. Second, inference is invalid in non-Gaussian regimes, namely when the estimator of the parameter of interest is not asymptotically Gaussian. We consider a simple fix that addresses both issues. In Gaussian regimes, the corresponding tests are asymptotically exact and…

一阶 Edgeworth 展开误差的显式非渐近界AI 解读

In this article, we obtain explicit bounds on the uniform distance between the cumulative distribution function of a standardized sum $S_n$ of $n$ independent centered random variables with moments of order four and its first-order Edgeworth expansion. Those bounds are valid for any sample size with $n^{-1/2}$ rate under moment conditions only and $n^{-1}$ rate under additional regularity constraints on the tail behavior of the characteristic function of $S_n$. In both…

兼得有限样本有效与一致渐近精确：期望和线性回归的置信区间AI 解读

We contribute to bridging the gap between large- and finite-sample inference by studying confidence sets (CSs) that are both non-asymptotically valid and asymptotically exact uniformly (NAVAE) over semi-parametric statistical models. NAVAE CSs are not easily obtained; for instance, we show they do not exist over the set of Bernoulli distributions. We first derive a generic sufficient condition: NAVAE CSs are available as soon as uniform asymptotically exact CSs are. Second,…

连接两种方法论：Angrist 与 Imbens 对因果识别的贡献AI 解读

In the 1990s, Joshua Angrist and Guido Imbens studied the causal interpretation of Instrumental Variable estimates (a widespread methodology in economics) through the lens of potential outcomes (a classical framework to formalize causality in statistics). Bridging a gap between those two strands of literature, they stress the importance of treatment effect heterogeneity and show that, under defendable assumptions in various applications, this method recovers an average…