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DROP: Distributionally Robust Optimization for Multi-task Learning in Graphical Models

DROP:图模型多任务学习中的分布鲁棒优化

Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs) are widely used to infer conditional dependence structures in high-dimensional data. However, standard precision matrix estimators are highly sensitive to data contamination, such as extreme outliers and heavy-tailed noise. In this paper, we propose DROP (Distributionally Robust Optimization), a robust estimation method formulated within a multi-task nodewise regression framework. The proposed estimator enforces structural sparsity while…

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Consistent and powerful CUSUM change-point test for panel data with changes in variance

面板数据方差变化的一致且有力的CUSUM变点检验

This paper investigates change-point of variance in panel data models with time series of $α$-mixing. Based on the cumulative sum (CUSUM) method and the individual differences, we construct a CUSUM test for panel data models to detect variance changes. Under the null hypothesis, we derive the limit distribution of this test, which can be used to detect the change-point of variance. Under the alternative hypothesis, the limit behavior of the CUSUM test is also derived. To…

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Exploring the space-time pattern of log-transformed infectious count of COVID-19: a clustering-segmented autoregressive sigmoid model

新冠感染计数的时空模式:聚类分段自回归 S 形曲线模型

At the end of April 20, 2020, there were only a few new COVID-19 cases remaining in China, whereas the rest of the world had shown increases in the number of new cases. It is of extreme importance to develop an efficient statistical model of COVID-19 spread, which could help in the global fight against the virus. We propose a clustering-segmented autoregressive sigmoid (CSAS) model to explore the space-time pattern of the log-transformed infectious count. Four key…

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