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Optimal detection of general moment changes: Simultaneous mean and covariance change detection and beyond

一般矩变点的最优检测:均值与协方差变点同时检测及推广

We study multiple change-point detection in multivariate time series whose distributions change in a piecewise constant manner. Distributional changes can manifest across different moment orders, from shifts in the mean and covariance to changes in higher-order moments. Higher-order moments capture increasingly rich distributional features but become difficult to estimate in high dimensions. Our tensor representation unifies moments of different orders within a common linear…

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Online Change Point Detection for Multivariate Inhomogeneous Poisson Processes Time Series

多元非齐次泊松过程时间序列的在线变点检测

We study online change point detection for multivariate inhomogeneous Poisson point process time series. This setting arises commonly in applications such as earthquake seismology, climate monitoring, and epidemic surveillance, yet remains underexplored in the machine learning and statistics literature. We propose a method that uses low-rank matrices to represent the multivariate Poisson intensity functions, resulting in an adaptive nonparametric detection procedure. Our…

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Optimal Change-point Testing for High-dimensional Linear Models with Temporal Dependence

时间依赖下高维线性模型的最优变点检验

In this paper, we study change-point testing for high-dimensional linear models, an important problem that has not been well explored in the literature. Specifically, we propose a quadratic-form cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistic to test the stability of regression coefficients in high-dimensional linear models. The test controls type-I error at any desired level and is robust to temporally dependent observations. We establish its asymptotic distribution under the null…

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