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An AI-powered Bayesian generative modeling approach for causal inference in observational studies

用于观察性研究因果推断的 AI 贝叶斯生成式建模

Causal inference in observational studies with high-dimensional covariates presents significant challenges. We introduce CausalBGM, an AI-powered Bayesian generative modeling approach that captures the causal relationship among covariates, treatment, and outcome. The core innovation is to estimate the individual treatment effect (ITE) by learning the individual-specific distribution of a low-dimensional latent feature set (e.g., latent confounders) that drives changes in…

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An integral equation for the identification of causal effects in nonlinear models

用于识别非线性模型因果效应的积分方程

When the causal relationship between X and Y is specified by a structural equation, the causal effect of X on Y is the expected rate of change of Y with respect to changes in X, when all other variables are kept fixed. This causal effect is not identifiable from the distribution of (X,Y). We give conditions under which this causal effect is identified as the solution of an integral equation based on the distributions of (X,Z) and (Y,Z), where Z is an instrumental variable.

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A calculus for causal inference with instrumental variables

使用工具变量进行因果推断的演算框架

Under a general structural equation framework for causal inference, we provide a definition of the causal effect of a variable X on another variable Y, and propose an approach to estimate this causal effect via the use of instrumental variables.

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