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本库首次提交范围:2004-06-23 — 2026-10-14。
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Can We Validate Counterfactual Estimations in the Presence of General Network Interference?

一般网络干扰下能否验证反事实估计?

Randomized experiments have become a cornerstone of evidence-based decision-making in contexts ranging from online platforms to public health. However, in experimental settings with network interference, a unit's treatment can influence outcomes of other units, challenging both causal effect estimation and its validation. Classic validation approaches fail as outcomes are only observable under a single treatment scenario and exhibit complex correlation patterns due to…

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Higher-Order Causal Message Passing for Experimentation with Complex Interference

复杂干扰实验中的高阶因果消息传递

Accurate estimation of treatment effects is essential for decision-making across various scientific fields. This task, however, becomes challenging in areas like social sciences and online marketplaces, where treating one experimental unit can influence outcomes for others through direct or indirect interactions. Such interference can lead to biased treatment effect estimates, particularly when the structure of these interactions is unknown. We address this challenge by…

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