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Dynamic treatment effects: high-dimensional inference under model misspecification

动态处理效应:模型误设下的高维推断

Estimating dynamic treatment effects is crucial across various disciplines, providing insights into the time-dependent causal impact of interventions. However, this estimation poses challenges due to time-varying confounding, leading to potentially biased estimates. Furthermore, accurately specifying the growing number of treatment assignments and outcome models with multiple exposures appears increasingly challenging to accomplish. Double robustness, which permits model…

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Adaptive Split Balancing for Optimal Random Forest

实现最优收敛率的自适应分裂平衡随机森林

In this paper, we propose a new random forest algorithm that constructs the trees using a novel adaptive split-balancing method. Rather than relying on the widely-used random feature selection, we propose a permutation-based balanced splitting criterion. The adaptive split balancing forest (ASBF), achieves minimax optimality under the Lipschitz class. Its localized version, which fits local regressions at the leaf level, attains the minimax rate under the broad Hölder class $\mathcal{H}^{q,β}$…

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High-dimensional Inference for Dynamic Treatment Effects

高维动态处理效应的统计推断

Estimating dynamic treatment effects is a crucial endeavor in causal inference, particularly when confronted with high-dimensional confounders. Doubly robust (DR) approaches have emerged as promising tools for estimating treatment effects due to their flexibility. However, we showcase that the traditional DR approaches that only focus on the DR representation of the expected outcomes may fall short of delivering optimal results. In this paper, we propose a novel DR…

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