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Modification and extension of the Bayesian clinical trial design using external data for single-arm and hybrid-controlled trials

利用外部数据的贝叶斯单臂与混合对照临床试验设计:修正与扩展

Limited patient availability complicates sample size determination in pediatric clinical trials. Although Bayesian methods incorporating external data offer a solution, rigorously controlling the type I error rate remains difficult. Psioda and Ibrahim (2019) proposed a simulation-based framework as a practical solution. However, although their framework was designed to relax the type I error control, this relaxation fails when the external data exhibit a large treatment…

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Posterior Quantification of Borrowing from Multiple Historical Control Data in Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing Methods: A Scoping Review

贝叶斯动态借用方法中多历史对照信息借用的后验量化:范围综述

Bayesian dynamic borrowing methods incorporate historical control data into current clinical trial analyses while allowing the degree of borrowing to depend on the compatibility between historical and current data. Although many methods have been proposed, the degree of borrowing is often difficult to interpret, especially when multiple historical control sources are available. This scoping review focuses on posterior quantification of borrowing from multiple historical…

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