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How weak are weak factors? Uniform inference for signal strength in signal plus noise models

弱因子究竟有多弱?信号加噪声模型中信号强度的统一推断

The paper analyzes four classical signal-plus-noise models: the factor model, spiked sample covariance matrices, the sum of a Wigner matrix and a low-rank perturbation, and canonical correlation analysis with low-rank dependencies. The objective is to construct confidence intervals for the signal strength that are uniformly valid across all regimes - strong, weak, and critical signals. We demonstrate that traditional Gaussian approximations fail in the critical regime.…

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Canonical Correlation Analysis: review

典型相关分析综述

For over a century canonical correlations, variables, and related concepts have been studied across various fields, with contributions dating back to Jordan [1875] and Hotelling [1936]. This text surveys the evolution of canonical correlation analysis, a fundamental statistical tool, beginning with its foundational theorems and progressing to recent developments and open research problems. Along the way we introduce and review methods, notions, and fundamental concepts from…

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Largevars: An R Package for Testing Large VARs for the Presence of Cointegration

Largevars:检验大型 VAR 协整关系的 R 包

Cointegration is a property of multivariate time series that determines whether its non-stationary, growing components have a stationary linear combination. Largevars R package conducts a cointegration test for high-dimensional vector autoregressions of order k based on the large N, T asymptotics of Bykhovskaya and Gorin (2022, 2025). The implemented test is a modification of the Johansen likelihood ratio test. In the absence of cointegration the test converges to the…

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High-Dimensional Canonical Correlation Analysis

高维典型相关分析

This paper studies high-dimensional canonical correlation analysis (CCA) with an emphasis on the vectors that define canonical variables. The paper shows that when two dimensions of data grow to infinity jointly and proportionally, the classical CCA procedure for estimating those vectors fails to deliver a consistent estimate. This provides the first result on the impossibility of identification of canonical variables in the CCA procedure when all dimensions are large. As a…

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Asymptotics of Cointegration Tests for High-Dimensional VAR($k$)

高维 VAR(k) 协整检验的渐近理论

The paper studies nonstationary high-dimensional vector autoregressions of order $k$, VAR($k$). Additional deterministic terms such as trend or seasonality are allowed. The number of time periods, $T$, and the number of coordinates, $N$, are assumed to be large and of the same order. Under this regime the first-order asymptotics of the Johansen likelihood ratio (LR), Pillai-Bartlett, and Hotelling-Lawley tests for cointegration are derived: the test statistics converge to…

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