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A Uniform Confidence Band for the Marginal Treatment Effect Function

边际处理效应函数的一致置信带

This paper presents a method for constructing uniform confidence bands for the marginal treatment effect (MTE) function. The shape of the MTE function provides insight into how the unobserved propensity to receive treatment relates to the treatment effect. Our approach visualizes the statistical uncertainty of an estimated function, facilitating inferences about the function's shape. The proposed method is computationally inexpensive and requires only minimal information:…

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Treatment Effects with Multidimensional Unobserved Heterogeneity: Identification of the Marginal Treatment Effect

多维不可观测异质性下的处理效应:边际处理效应识别

This paper establishes sufficient conditions for the identification of the marginal treatment effects with multivalued treatments. Our model is based on a multinomial choice model with utility maximization. Our MTE generalizes the MTE defined in Heckman and Vytlacil (2005) in binary treatment models. As in the binary case, we can interpret the MTE as the treatment effect for persons who are indifferent between two treatments at a particular level. Our MTE enables one to…

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Benign Overfitting of Non-Sparse High-Dimensional Linear Regression with Correlated Noise

相关噪声下非稀疏高维线性回归的良性过拟合

We investigate the high-dimensional linear regression problem in the presence of noise correlated with Gaussian covariates. This correlation, known as endogeneity in regression models, often arises from unobserved variables and other factors. It has been a major challenge in causal inference and econometrics. When the covariates are high-dimensional, it has been common to assume sparsity on the true parameters and estimate them using regularization, even with the…

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