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Deep Gaussian Processes on Directed Acyclic Graphs

有向无环图上的深度高斯过程

Many real-world processes can be represented as compositions of functions along a directed acyclic graph (DAG). In causal modelling, these correspond to the underlying mechanisms; in engineering, to multiple fidelity levels; and in gene-regulatory networks, to transcription factors. These functions are partially observed across the DAG, with noisy and heterogeneously sampled measurements, posing significant challenges for reconstruction, uncertainty propagation, and…

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Total robustness in Bayesian Nonlinear Regression

贝叶斯非线性回归中的总体稳健性

Modern regression analyses are often undermined by covariate measurement error, misspecification of the regression model, and misspecification of the measurement error distribution. We present, to the best of our knowledge, the first Bayesian nonparametric learning framework targeting total robustness to all three challenges in general nonlinear regression. Our framework places a joint Dirichlet process prior on the latent covariate--response distribution and updates it with…

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Robust Bayesian Inference for Measurement Error Misspecification: The Berkson and Classical Cases

测量误差设定错误下的稳健贝叶斯推断:Berkson 与经典情形

Measurement error occurs when a covariate influencing a response variable is corrupted by noise. This can lead to misleading inference outcomes, particularly in problems where accurately estimating the relationship between covariates and response variables is crucial, such as causal effect estimation. Existing methods for dealing with measurement error often rely on strong assumptions such as knowledge of the error distribution or its variance and availability of replicated…

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