On the probability of invalidating a causal inference due to limited external validity
外部效度不足导致因果推断失效的概率
External validity is often questionable in empirical research, especially in randomized experiments due to the trade-off between internal validity and external validity. To quantify the robustness of external validity, one must first conceptualize the gap between a sample that is fully representative of the target population (i.e., the ideal sample) and the observed sample. Drawing on Frank & Min (2007) and Frank et al. (2013), I define such gap as the unobserved sample and…