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Estimating Dyadic Treatment Effects with Unknown Confounders

存在未知混杂因素时的二元关系处理效应估计

This paper proposes estimation and inference methods for assessing treatment effects with dyadic data. Under the assumption that the treatments follow an exchangeable distribution, our approach allows for the presence of any unobserved confounding factors that potentially cause endogeneity of treatment choice without requiring additional information other than the treatments and outcomes. Building on the literature of graphon estimation in network data analysis, we propose a…

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Doubly Robust Uniform Confidence Bands for Group-Time Conditional Average Treatment Effects in Difference-in-Differences

双重差分中组别—时期条件平均处理效应的双重稳健一致置信带

We consider a panel data analysis to examine the heterogeneity in treatment effects with respect to groups, periods, and a pre-treatment covariate of interest in the staggered difference-in-differences setting of Callaway and Sant'Anna (2021). Under standard identification conditions, a doubly robust estimand conditional on the covariate identifies the group-time conditional average treatment effect given the covariate. Focusing on the case of a continuous covariate, we…

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Randomization Test for the Specification of Interference Structure

干扰结构设定的随机化检验

This study considers testing the specification of spillover effects in causal inference. We focus on experimental settings in which the treatment assignment mechanism is known to researchers. We develop a new randomization test utilizing a hierarchical relationship between different exposures. Compared with existing approaches, our approach is essentially applicable to any null exposure specifications and produces powerful test statistics without a priori knowledge of the…

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Causal Inference with Noncompliance and Unknown Interference

不依从与未知干扰下的因果推断

We consider a causal inference model in which individuals interact in a social network and they may not comply with the assigned treatments. In particular, we suppose that the form of network interference is unknown to researchers. To estimate meaningful causal parameters in this situation, we introduce a new concept of exposure mapping, which summarizes potentially complicated spillover effects into a fixed dimensional statistic of instrumental variables. We investigate…

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An Effective Treatment Approach to Difference-in-Differences with General Treatment Patterns

一般处理模式下双重差分的有效处理方法

We consider a general difference-in-differences model in which the treatment variable of interest may be non-binary and its value may change in each period. It is generally difficult to estimate treatment parameters defined with the potential outcome given the entire path of treatment adoption, because each treatment path may be experienced by only a small number of observations. We propose an alternative approach using the concept of effective treatment, which summarizes…

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