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Debiased inference for proximal dose-response function

We study nonparametric inference for a continuous-treatment causal dose-response curve and its first derivative under unmeasured confounding, using treatment- and outcome-inducing proxies. We establish a proximal doubly robust pseudo-outcome whose conditional mean given treatment equals the dose-response curve whenever either bridge function is correctly specified. Their (smoothed) efficient influence function representations lead to cross-fitted local-polynomial estimators…

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Proximal Mediation Analysis with Hidden Recanting Witnesses

存在隐藏反悔见证变量时的近端中介分析

Mediation analysis is essential for decomposing the causal effect of a treatment into direct and indirect pathways. However, many practical settings rely on the stringent assumption that recanting witnesses, defined as treatment-induced mediator-outcome confounders, are either absent or fully known a priori. Such a requirement is often untenable, especially when these variables remain unobservable due to measurement difficulties or privacy constraints. In this paper, we…

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Proximal Path-Specific Inference

近端路径特定效应推断

Causal mediation analysis has been extended to estimate path-specific effects with multiple intermediate variables, isolating treatment effects through a mediator of interest while excluding pathways through its ancestors. Such analyses address bias from recanting witnesses, i.e., treatment-induced mediator-outcome confounders. However, existing methods typically rely on stringent assumptions precluding general unmeasured confounding, which are often violated in practice. In…

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