Generation and Balancing Capacity in Future Electric Power Systems -- Scenario Analysis Using Bayesian Networks
未来电力系统的发电与平衡容量:贝叶斯网络情景分析
This paper examines the evolution of the Finnish electric energy system up to 2035, focusing on the likelihood of different development paths. The primary contribution of this paper is the development of an extensive Bayesian Network, designed to model and analyse the evolution of power generation capacity mix, assess the likelihood of different grid management scenarios, and understand the causal relationships underlying these scenarios. A target optimisation was carried…