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Causal mediation analysis for zero-inflated longitudinal data in the presence of treatment non-compliance and multiple mediators

存在处理不依从与多个中介时零膨胀纵向数据的因果中介分析

Understanding whether a digital marketing campaign is effective is central to designing effective customer engagement strategies. We analyze a large-scale, longitudinal promotional email campaign conducted by a U.S.\ retailer to evaluate how value-added incentives, such as free shipping, compare with traditional price discounts in influencing customer purchasing behavior. The analysis is complicated by non-compliance, due to not opening emails, multiple longitudinal…

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Causal mediation analysis for longitudinal and survival data in continuous time using Bayesian non-parametric joint models

基于贝叶斯非参数联合模型的连续时间纵向与生存数据因果中介分析

Observational cohort data is an important source of information for understanding the causal effects of treatments on survival and the degree to which these effects are mediated through changes in disease-related risk factors. However, these analyses are often complicated by irregular data collection intervals and the presence of longitudinal confounders and mediators. We propose a causal mediation framework that jointly models longitudinal exposures, confounders, mediators,…

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Integrating tumor burden with survival outcome for treatment effect evaluation in oncology trials

结合肿瘤负荷与生存结局评价肿瘤试验处理效应

In early-phase cancer clinical trials, the limited availability of data presents significant challenges in developing a framework to efficiently quantify treatment effectiveness. To address this, we propose a novel utility-based Bayesian approach for assessing treatment effects in these trials, where data scarcity is a major concern. Our approach synthesizes tumor burden, a key biomarker for evaluating patient response to oncology treatments, and survival outcome, a widely…

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A Bayesian semi-parametric approach to causal mediation for longitudinal mediators and time-to-event outcomes with application to a cardiovascular disease cohort study

纵向中介与事件时间结局的贝叶斯半参数因果中介分析

Causal mediation analysis of observational data is an important tool for investigating the potential causal effects of medications on disease-related risk factors, and on time-to-death (or disease progression) through these risk factors. However, when analyzing data from a cohort study, such analyses are complicated by the longitudinal structure of the risk factors and the presence of time-varying confounders. Leveraging data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities…

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