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Event-driven type design for clinical trials with recurrent events

复发事件临床试验的事件驱动型设计

It is a common practice in randomized clinical trials with the standard survival outcome to follow patients until a prespecified number of events have been observed, a type of trial known as the event-driven trial. The event-driven design ensures that the target power for a specified type 1 error rate is achieved to detect the target hazard ratio, regardless of the specification of other quantities. To understand the treatment effect for chronic conditions, the analysis of…

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Blinded sample size re-estimation accounting for uncertainty in mid-trial estimation

考虑试验中期估计不确定性的盲态样本量重估

For randomized controlled trials to be conclusive, it is important to set the target sample size accurately at the design stage. Comparing two normal populations, the sample size calculation requires specification of the variance other than the treatment effect and misspecification can lead to underpowered studies. Blinded sample size re-estimation is an approach to minimize the risk of inconclusive studies. Existing methods proposed to use the total (one-sample) variance…

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Semiparametric Piecewise Accelerated Failure Time Model for the Analysis of Immune-Oncology Clinical Trials

用于肿瘤免疫治疗临床试验的半参数分段加速失效时间模型

Effectiveness of immune-oncology chemotherapies has been presented in recent clinical trials. The Kaplan-Meier estimates of the survival functions of the immune therapy and the control often suggested the presence of the lag-time until the immune therapy began to act. It implies the use of hazard ratio under the proportional hazards assumption would not be appealing, and many alternatives have been investigated such as the restricted mean survival time. In addition to such…

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A simple sensitivity analysis method for unmeasured confounders via linear programming with estimating equation constraints

利用估计方程约束与线性规划开展未测混杂敏感性分析

In estimating the average treatment effect in observational studies, the influence of confounders should be appropriately addressed. To this end, the propensity score is widely used. If the propensity scores are known for all the subjects, bias due to confounders can be adjusted by using the inverse probability weighting (IPW) by the propensity score. Since the propensity score is unknown in general, it is usually estimated by the parametric logistic regression model with…

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Frequentist analysis of basket trials with one-sample Mantel-Haenszel procedures

基于单样本 Mantel–Haenszel 方法的篮式试验频率学派分析

Recent substantial advances of molecular targeted oncology drug development is requiring new paradigms for early-phase clinical trial methodologies to enable us to evaluate efficacy of several subtypes simultaneously and efficiently. The concept of the basket trial is getting of much attention to realize this requirement borrowing information across subtypes, which are called baskets. Bayesian approach is a natural approach to this end and indeed the majority of the existing…

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On sample size determination for restricted mean survival time-based tests in randomized clinical trials

随机临床试验中基于限制平均生存时间检验的样本量确定

Restricted mean survival time (RMST) is gaining attention as a measure to quantify the treatment effect on survival outcomes in randomized clinical trials. Several methods to determine sample size based on the RMST-based tests have been proposed. However, to the best of our knowledge, there is no discussion about the power and sample size regarding the augmented version of RMST-based tests, which utilize baseline covariates for a gain in estimation efficiency and in power…

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