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Experiments with spillovers create incentives for strategic behavior: when one household member's treatment can affect another, take-up decisions become interdependent. We propose an instrumental-variables framework grounded in game theory, in which take-up is a Nash equilibrium among a small number of agents, and all variables are discrete. Under minimal assumptions, without specifying how equilibria are selected, we derive sharp non-parametric bounds for direct, indirect,…

随机前沿模型与失效边界分析AI 解读

This paper studies sensitivity analysis in stochastic frontier models by developing relaxations of the baseline assumptions imposed on the latent inefficiency and noise components, and characterize bounds for a benchmark technical-efficiency object under such relaxations. We then derive the associated breakdown frontier for conclusions about conditional technical efficiency and illustrate the procedure using a well-known dataset. We show the estimation and inference of the…

处理变量误分类时的局部平均处理效应与边际处理效应AI 解读

This paper studies identification of the local average and marginal treatment effects (LATE and MTE) with a misclassified binary treatment variable. We derive bounds on the (generalized) LATE and exploit its relationship with the MTE to further bound the MTE. Indeed, under some standard assumptions, the MTE is a limit of the ratio of the variation in the conditional expectation of the observed outcome given the instrument to the variation in the true propensity score, which…

冉阿让的警探有理由怀疑吗？持续时间结果的边际处理效应AI 解读

We identify the distributional and quantile marginal treatment effect functions when the outcome is right-censored. Our method requires a conditionally exogenous instrument and random censoring. We propose asymptotically consistent semi-parametric estimators and valid inferential procedures for the target functions. To illustrate, we evaluate the effect of alternative sentences (fines and community service vs. no punishment) on recidivism in Brazil. Our results highlight…

加成率估计的证伪自适应集合AI 解读

In this paper we provide a constructive way for researchers to salvage the classic De Loecker and Warzynski (2012) markup recovery procedure when falsified. To do this, we consider continuous relaxations of the standard assumptions behind markup estimation. By computing the values of the markup as a function of the relaxations across the set of non-falsified models, we obtain an identified set for the markup which generalizes the standard baseline markup estimand to account…

Tobit 模型识别假设的检验AI 解读

We develop sharp, testable implications for the identifying assumptions of Tobit and IV-Tobit models: linear index, (joint) normality of errors, treatment (instrument) exogeneity, and relevance. The new sharp testable equalities can detect all possible observable violations of the identifying conditions. The proposed test procedure for the model's validity uses existing inference methods for intersection bounds. Simulations suggest adequate test size and power in detecting…

离散工具变量与处理误报下边际处理效应的部分识别AI 解读

This paper provides partial identification results for the marginal treatment effect ($MTE$) when the binary treatment variable is potentially misreported and the instrumental variable is discrete. Identification results are derived under different sets of nonparametric assumptions. The identification results are illustrated in identifying the marginal treatment effects of food stamps on health.