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A Calibrated Sensitivity Analysis for Weighted Causal Decompositions

加权因果分解的校准敏感性分析

Disparities in health or well-being experienced by minority groups can be difficult to study using the traditional exposure-outcome paradigm in causal inference, since potential outcomes in variables such as race or sexual minority status are challenging to interpret. Causal decomposition analysis addresses this gap by positing causal effects on disparities under interventions to other, intervenable exposures that may play a mediating role in the disparity. While invoking…

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Re-evaluating the impact of hormone replacement therapy on heart disease using match-adaptive randomization inference

使用匹配自适应随机化推断重新评估激素替代疗法对心脏病的影响

Matching is an appealing way to design observational studies because it mimics the data structure produced by stratified randomized trials, pairing treated individuals with similar controls. After matching, inference is often conducted using methods tailored for stratified randomized trials in which treatments are permuted within matched pairs. However, in observational studies, matched pairs are not predetermined before treatment; instead, they are constructed based on…

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Prioritizing Variables for Observational Study Design using the Joint Variable Importance Plot

利用联合变量重要性图确定观测研究设计的变量优先级

Observational studies of treatment effects require adjustment for confounding variables. However, causal inference methods typically cannot deliver perfect adjustment on all measured baseline variables, and there is often ambiguity about which variables should be prioritized. Standard prioritization methods based on treatment imbalance alone neglect variables' relationships with the outcome. We propose the joint variable importance plot to guide variable prioritization for…

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Covariate-adaptive randomization inference in matched designs

匹配设计中的协变量自适应随机化推断

It is common to conduct causal inference in matched observational studies by proceeding as though treatment assignments within matched sets are assigned uniformly at random and using this distribution as the basis for inference. This approach ignores observed discrepancies in matched sets that may be consequential for the distribution of treatment, which are succinctly captured by within-set differences in the propensity score. We address this problem via covariate-adaptive…

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Interpretable Sensitivity Analysis for Balancing Weights

平衡权重估计的可解释敏感性分析

Assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding is an important step in observational studies, which typically estimate effects under the assumption that all confounders are measured. In this paper, we develop a sensitivity analysis framework for balancing weights estimators, an increasingly popular approach that solves an optimization problem to obtain weights that directly minimizes covariate imbalance. In particular, we adapt a sensitivity analysis framework using the…

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Variance-based sensitivity analysis for weighting estimators result in more informative bounds

加权估计的方差型敏感性分析与更具信息量的界限

Weighting methods are popular tools for estimating causal effects; assessing their robustness under unobserved confounding is important in practice. In the following paper, we introduce a new set of sensitivity models called "variance-based sensitivity models". Variance-based sensitivity models characterize the bias from omitting a confounder by bounding the distributional differences that arise in the weights from omitting a confounder, with several notable innovations over…

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