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Design-Based RCT Estimators and Central Limit Theorems for Baseline Subgroup and Related Analyses

基线子组及相关分析的设计型随机试验估计量与中心极限定理

There is a growing literature on design-based methods to estimate average treatment effects (ATEs) for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for full sample analyses. This article extends these methods to estimate ATEs for discrete subgroups defined by pre-treatment variables, with an application to an RCT testing subgroup effects for a school voucher experiment in New York City. We consider ratio estimators for subgroup effects using regression methods, allowing for model…

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Estimating Complier Average Causal Effects for Clustered RCTs When the Treatment Affects the Service Population

处理改变服务人群时聚类随机试验的依从者平均因果效应估计

RCTs sometimes test interventions that aim to improve existing services targeted to a subset of individuals identified after randomization. Accordingly, the treatment could affect the composition of service recipients and the offered services. With such bias, intention-to-treat estimates using data on service recipients and nonrecipients may be difficult to interpret. This article develops causal estimands and inverse probability weighting (IPW) estimators for complier…

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Statistical Power for Estimating Treatment Effects Using Difference-in-Differences and Comparative Interrupted Time Series Designs with Variation in Treatment Timing

处理时点变化下双重差分与比较中断时间序列设计的统计功效

This article develops new closed-form variance expressions for power analyses for commonly used difference-in-differences (DID) and comparative interrupted time series (CITS) panel data estimators. The main contribution is to incorporate variation in treatment timing into the analysis. The power formulas also account for other key design features that arise in practice: autocorrelated errors, unequal measurement intervals, and clustering due to the unit of treatment…

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