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Simultaneous Inference for Proximal Causal Learning with Weak Proxies

弱代理变量下近端因果学习的同时推断

Proximal causal learning uses the treatment-inducing proxy and the outcome-inducing proxy through the outcome bridge and the treatment bridge to provide a way to address unobserved confounding in observational studies. This paper studies simultaneous inference for the marginal counterfactual distribution and quantile treatment effect under weak proxies. First, we propose a measure of weak-proxy strength and tightens the population-bias bound for the counterfactual CDF…

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Nested Sensitivity Envelopes for Transported Quantile Treatment Effects

可迁移分位数处理效应的嵌套敏感性包络

We study target-population quantile treatment effects when a source study may have unmeasured treatment confounding and may not transport to a target population after conditioning on observed covariates. The observed data consist of a source sample with treatment, outcome and covariates, and a target sample with covariates only. We impose two marginal sensitivity restrictions: an odds-ratio bound \(\Gam\) for source treatment assignment and a conditional likelihood-ratio…

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Efficient Transported Distributional and Quantile Treatment Effects with Surrogate-Assisted Missing Primary Outcomes

利用替代指标辅助缺失主要结局的高效跨总体分布与分位数处理效应估计

We study target-population distributional and quantile treatment effects when a source study observes treatment and post-treatment surrogates for all source units but observes a long-run primary outcome only for a validation subset, while the target population contributes only baseline covariates. The target estimands are transported counterfactual distribution functions $ψ_a(y)=P(Y^a\le y\mid R=0)$, their quantiles $q_a(τ)$, and the quantile treatment effect $Δ(τ)=q_1(τ)-q_0(τ)$…

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Reconciling Overt Bias and Hidden Bias in Sensitivity Analysis for Matched Observational Studies

匹配观察研究敏感性分析中可观测偏差与隐藏偏差的协调

Matching is one of the most widely used causal inference designs in observational studies, but post-matching confounding bias remains a critical concern. This bias includes overt bias from inexact matching on measured confounders and hidden bias from unmeasured confounders. Researchers routinely apply the famous Rosenbaum-type sensitivity analysis after matching to assess the impact of these biases on causal conclusions. In this work, we show that this approach is often…

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