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Synthetic Nearest Neighbors: Extending Synthetic Controls for Matrix Completion with Missing Not at Random Data

合成最近邻:非随机缺失数据下的合成控制与矩阵补全

We develop a causal framework for matrix completion under missing not at random (MNAR) data. Drawing on synthetic controls from the econometric panel data literature, our approach relaxes two assumptions common in MNAR matrix completion: positivity and independence of observation indicators. Unlike traditional panel data models, which often require prescribed block-sparse geometries, our framework accommodates flexible, heterogeneous observation patterns through…

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Estimation of Models with Limited Data by Leveraging Shared Structure

利用共享结构估计数据有限的模型

Modern data sets, such as those in healthcare and e-commerce, are often derived from many individuals or systems but have insufficient data from each source alone to separately estimate individual, often high-dimensional, model parameters. If there is shared structure among systems however, it may be possible to leverage data from other systems to help estimate individual parameters, which could otherwise be non-identifiable. In this paper, we assume systems share a latent…

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Causal Matrix Completion

因果矩阵补全

Matrix completion is the study of recovering an underlying matrix from a sparse subset of noisy observations. Traditionally, it is assumed that the entries of the matrix are "missing completely at random" (MCAR), i.e., each entry is revealed at random, independent of everything else, with uniform probability. This is likely unrealistic due to the presence of "latent confounders", i.e., unobserved factors that determine both the entries of the underlying matrix and the…

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