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Using the target trial framework for combining information: external comparator analyses and other applications

利用目标试验框架整合信息:外部对照分析及其他应用

We describe how the target trial framework can be used to plan and report analyses that attempt to answer causal questions by combining information from multiple, diverse sources. Such analyses may involve comparisons of treatments evaluated in different populations, for example when an index trial is combined with other data sources in external comparator analyses, or when extending causal inferences from a randomized trial to a new target population in generalizability and…

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Constructing external comparator groups via transportability in mean or in effect measure

通过均值或效应尺度可迁移性构造外部对照组

Learning about causal effects in target populations and their subsets may be facilitated by combining information from multiple sources. One major class of study designs that combine information involves appending an index study with data from an external comparator, which may facilitate head-to-head comparisons of treatments initially studied in different populations. We delineate external comparator analyses under two distinct, but related, identification strategies. The…

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The role of assignment in defining and identifying causal effects in randomized trials

随机试验中分配对因果效应定义与识别的作用

In randomized trials, the per-protocol effect, that is, the effect of being assigned a treatment strategy and receiving treatment according to the assigned strategy, is sometimes thought to reflect the effect of the treatment strategy itself, without intervention on assignment. Here, we argue by example that this is not necessarily the case. We examine a causal structure for a randomized trial where these two causal estimands -- the per-protocol effect and the effect of the…

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Generalizing and transporting inferences about the effects of treatment assignment subject to non-adherence

存在不依从时治疗分配效应推断的推广与迁移

We discuss the identifiability of causal estimands for generalizability and transportability analyses, both under perfect and imperfect adherence to treatment assignment. We consider a setting where the trial data contain information on baseline covariates, assignment at baseline, intervention at baseline (point treatment), and outcomes; and where the data from non-randomized individuals only contain information on baseline covariates. In this setting, we review…

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Global sensitivity analysis for studies extending inferences from a randomized trial to a target population

将随机试验推断推广至目标总体的全局敏感性分析

When individuals participating in a randomized trial differ with respect to the distribution of effect modifiers compared compared with the target population where the trial results will be used, treatment effect estimates from the trial may not directly apply to target population. Methods for extending -- generalizing or transporting -- causal inferences from the trial to the target population rely on conditional exchangeability assumptions between randomized and…

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Revisiting the g-null paradox

重新审视 g-null 悖论

The parametric g-formula is an approach to estimating causal effects of sustained treatment strategies from observational data. An often cited limitation of the parametric g-formula is the g-null paradox: a phenomenon in which model misspecification in the parametric g-formula is guaranteed under the conditions that motivate its use (i.e., when identifiability conditions hold and measured time-varying confounders are affected by past treatment). Many users of the parametric…

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