Computation of Ultra-Short-Term Prediction Intervals of the Power Prosumption in Active Distribution Networks
主动配电网电力产消的超短期预测区间计算
Microgrids and, in general, active distribution networks require ultra-short-term prediction, i.e., for sub-second time scales, for specific control decisions. Conventional forecasting methodologies are not effective at such time scales. To address this issue, we propose a non-parametric method for computing ultra short-term prediction intervals (PIs) of the power prosumption of generic electrical-distribution networks. The method groups historical observations into clusters…