Information Leakage at Population Scale: An Evaluation of the Polymarket Insider-Relevant Subpopulation, 2020-2026
总体规模的信息泄漏评估:Polymarket 内幕相关市场,2020—2026
We carry the deadline-resolved Information Leakage Score (ILS-dl) framework of Nechepurenko (2026a, 2026b) from a single-case proof of concept to a population-scale evaluation across 12,708 Polymarket markets, October 2020 to April 2026. We frame the paper as a scope-discovery study: scaling reveals that the framework's effective domain is materially narrower than initial framing suggested, and the principal obstacle is not score computation but resolution semantics. We…