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Average Treatment Effect Estimation with Non-binary Instrumental Variables

利用非二元工具变量估计平均处理效应

Non-binary instrumental variables, especially continuous ones, are common in practice. A binary recoding induces a Wald ratio but may discard useful variation and reduce efficiency. Although fully nonparametric approaches can in principle use the entire instrument, they often require high-dimensional nuisance estimation which can be unstable with rich covariates. We address this problem by developing a generalized Wald estimand for binary treatments that uses the full…

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Causal Inference for All: Marginal Estimands for Outcomes Truncated by Death

面向全体人群的因果推断:死亡截断结局的边际估计目标

In longitudinal studies, outcomes of interest are often truncated by death, meaning that they are only observed or well-defined conditional on intercurrent events such as survival. Existing strategies face a trade-off: causally interpretable estimands, such as survivor average causal effects, target a latent subgroup, whereas while-alive and composite summaries apply to the full population but are difficult to interpret as causal effects on the non-mortality outcome. We…

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Causal Inference: A Tale of Three Frameworks

因果推断:三种框架的比较

Causal inference is a central goal across many scientific disciplines. Over the past several decades, three major frameworks have emerged to formalize causal questions and guide their analysis: the potential outcomes framework, structural equation models, and directed acyclic graphs. Although these frameworks differ in language, assumptions, and philosophical orientation, they often lead to compatible or complementary insights. This paper provides a comparative introduction…

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The synthetic instrument: From sparse association to sparse causation

合成工具变量:从稀疏关联到稀疏因果效应

In many observational studies, researchers are often interested in studying the effects of multiple exposures on a single outcome. Standard approaches for high-dimensional data such as the lasso assume the associations between the exposures and the outcome are sparse. These methods, however, do not estimate the causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. In this paper, we consider an alternative approach that assumes the causal effects in view are sparse. We…

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Inverse Probability Weighting-based Mediation Analysis for Microbiome Data

基于逆概率加权的微生物组中介分析

Mediation analysis is an important tool for studying causal associations in biomedical and other scientific areas and has recently gained attention in microbiome studies. Using a microbiome study of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients, we investigate whether the effect of induction chemotherapy intensity levels on infection status is mediated by microbial taxa abundance. The unique characteristics of the microbial mediators -- high-dimensionality, zero-inflation, and…

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Simultaneous Estimation of Multiple Treatment Effects from Observational Studies

从观测研究中同时估计多个处理效应

Unmeasured confounding presents a significant challenge in causal inference from observational studies. Classical approaches often rely on collecting proxy variables, such as instrumental variables. However, in applications where the effects of multiple treatments are of simultaneous interest, finding a sufficient number of proxy variables for consistent estimation of treatment effects can be challenging. Various methods in the literature exploit the structure of multiple…

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Fighting Noise with Noise: Causal Inference with Many Candidate Instruments

以噪声对抗噪声:大量候选工具变量下的因果推断

Instrumental variable methods provide useful tools for inferring causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. To apply these methods with large-scale data sets, a major challenge is to find valid instruments from a possibly large candidate set. In practice, most of the candidate instruments are often not relevant for studying a particular exposure of interest. Moreover, not all relevant candidate instruments are valid as they may directly influence the outcome…

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Rejoinder to discussions on "Instrumental variable estimation of the causal hazard ratio"

对《因果风险比的工具变量估计》讨论的答复

We respond to comments on our paper, titled "Instrumental variable estimation of the causal hazard ratio."

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Causal Inference on Distribution Functions

分布函数结果的因果推断

Understanding causal relationships is one of the most important goals of modern science. So far, the causal inference literature has focused almost exclusively on outcomes coming from the Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^p$. However, it is increasingly common that complex datasets are best summarized as data points in non-linear spaces. In this paper, we present a novel framework of causal effects for outcomes from the Wasserstein space of cumulative distribution functions, which…

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