Identification and estimation of causal mechanisms in cluster-randomized trials with post-treatment confounding using Bayesian nonparametrics
处理后混杂下集群随机试验因果机制的贝叶斯非参数识别与估计
Causal mediation analysis in cluster-randomized trials (CRTs) is essential for explaining how cluster-level interventions affect individual outcomes, yet it is complicated by interference, post-treatment confounding, and hierarchical covariate adjustment. We develop a Bayesian nonparametric framework that simultaneously accommodates interference and a post-treatment confounder that precedes the mediator. Identification is achieved through a multivariate Gaussian copula that…