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Asymptotic Anytime-Valid Quantile Inference under Local Differential Privacy

局部差分隐私下渐近随时有效的分位数推断

Sequential quantile inference is difficult under local differential privacy because every record is randomized before reaching the analyst and the limiting quantile variance depends on an unknown density. We develop an online procedure that combines randomized response with dynamically chained parallel stochastic gradient descent (P-SGD). The resulting Polyak--Ruppert estimator admits a strong Gaussian approximation. A cross-chain quadratic statistic, computed entirely from…

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Multicollinearity-agnostic feature screening for non-Euclidean responses: a factor adjusted approach

非欧几里得响应的抗多重共线性特征筛选:因子调整方法

In high-dimensional settings, multicollinearity is a pervasive issue that can substantially impair the performance of feature screening methods based on marginal Fréchet regression. Feature screening for non-Euclidean responses becomes unreliable when ultrahigh-dimensional predictors suffer from multicollinearity, because feature-specific signals may be masked by shared latent factors. To mitigate this effect, we propose a Factor adjusted Fréchet sure independence screening…

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Recursive Multiple Change Point Detection of Nonstationary Time Series: Instability Tests, Estimation and Confidence Intervals

非平稳时间序列的递归多变点检测、估计与置信区间

We develop bootstrap-assisted robust binary segmentation (BARBS), a recursive binary segmentation method for multiple change point detection under general nonstationary temporal dynamics. A novel Gaussian multiplier bootstrap for the CUSUM statistics is proposed, offering robustness to complex dependence structures. Through meticulous calibration of the critical values at each stage of the recursion, BARBS ensures control of the Type I error under the null hypothesis of no…

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Unified theory of testing relevant hypotheses in functional time series

函数型时间序列实质性假设检验的统一理论

In this paper, we develop a {\em unified} framework for testing relevant hypotheses in functional time series. The proposed approach accommodates one-sample, two-sample, and change point problems for contaminated observations under arbitrary sampling schemes. Combining B-spline estimation with self-normalization, we construct nuisance-parameter-free tests that bypass auxiliary estimation of long-run covariance functions and measurement-error variance functions. We establish…

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From sparse to dense functional time series: phase transitions of detecting structural breaks and beyond

从稀疏到稠密的函数型时间序列:结构突变检测的相变及拓展

We develop a novel methodology for detecting abrupt break points in mean functions of functional time series, adaptable to arbitrary sampling schemes. By employing B-spline smoothing, we introduce $\mathcal L_{\infty}$ and $\mathcal L_2$ test statistics statistics based on a smoothed cumulative summation (CUMSUM) process, and derive the corresponding asymptotic distributions under the null and local alternative hypothesis, as well as the phase transition boundary from sparse…

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