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保留计量方法研究、相关统计基础,以及实质涉及计量方法的应用、教程、比较和综述。书评、刊务及明确无关内容不公开;身份或相关性证据不足的记录保留待核,补充可靠材料后可重新判断。
预印本来自 arXiv 计量经济学及相关统计、金融分类和主题检索。主题检索从 2021 年起回补;关注作者追溯更早年份,部分历史文献按已核验编号补录。收录不表示通过同行评审,仍可能遗漏。
本库首次提交范围:2004-06-23 — 2026-10-14。
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Weight a Minute: Understanding Variability in PATE Estimates Across Target Populations

权重且慢:理解不同目标总体下总体平均处理效应估计的变动

Clinical study populations often differ meaningfully from the broader populations to which results are intended to generalize. Weighting methods such as inverse probability of sampling weights (IPSW) reweight study participants to resemble a target population, but the accuracy of these estimates depends heavily on how well the chosen population represents the population of substantive interest. We conduct a simulation study grounded in empirical covariate distributions from…

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Leveraging External Controls in Clinical Trials: Estimands, Estimation, Assumptions

临床试验中利用外部对照:目标量、估计与假设

It is increasingly common to augment randomized controlled trial with external controls from observational data, to evaluate the treatment effect of an intervention. Traditional approaches to treatment effect estimation involve ambiguous estimands and unrealistic or strong assumptions, such as mean exchangeability. We introduce a double-indexed notation for potential outcomes to define causal estimands transparently and clarify distinct sources of implicit bias. We show that…

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Addressing Extreme Propensity Scores in Estimating Counterfactual Survival Functions via the Overlap Weights

利用重叠权重处理反事实生存函数估计中的极端倾向得分

The inverse probability weighting approach is popular for evaluating treatment effects in observational studies, but extreme propensity scores could bias the estimator and induce excessive variance. Recently, the overlap weighting approach has been proposed to alleviate this problem, which smoothly down-weighs the subjects with extreme propensity scores. Although advantages of overlap weighting have been extensively demonstrated in literature with continuous and binary…

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