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本库首次提交范围:2004-06-23 — 2026-10-14。
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MixCIT: A Kernel Based Local-Polynomial Debiased Test for Conditional Independence on Mixed-Type Data

MixCIT:面向混合类型数据的核局部多项式去偏条件独立检验

Conditional independence testing (CIT) is fundamental to modern statistical inference in areas related to causal discovery and variable selection. While marginal independence is relatively well-understood, despite multiple advances, no existing non-parametric CIT provides a unified, efficient, and statistically guaranteed solution across heterogeneous data. We introduce a graph-based test statistic comparing kernel similarities of the response within composite neighborhoods…

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Optimal Adjustment Sets for Nonparametric Estimation of Weighted Controlled Direct Effect

加权受控直接效应非参数估计的最优调整集

The weighted controlled direct effect (WCDE) generalizes the standard controlled direct effect (CDE) by averaging over the mediator distribution, providing a robust estimate when treatment effects vary across mediator levels. This makes the WCDE especially relevant in fairness analysis, where it isolates the direct effect of an exposure on an outcome, independent of mediating pathways. This work establishes three fundamental advances for WCDE in observational studies: First,…

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Local Discovery by Partitioning: Polynomial-Time Causal Discovery Around Exposure-Outcome Pairs

通过分割实现暴露—结果对的多项式时间局部因果发现

Causal discovery is crucial for causal inference in observational studies, as it can enable the identification of valid adjustment sets (VAS) for unbiased effect estimation. However, global causal discovery is notoriously hard in the nonparametric setting, with exponential time and sample complexity in the worst case. To address this, we propose local discovery by partitioning (LDP): a local causal discovery method that is tailored for downstream inference tasks without…

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Anytime-valid inference in N-of-1 trials

单人试验中任意时点有效的统计推断

App-based N-of-1 trials offer a scalable experimental design for assessing the effects of health interventions at an individual level. Their practical success depends on the strong motivation of participants, which, in turn, translates into high adherence and reduced loss to follow-up. One way to maintain participant engagement is by sharing their interim results. Continuously testing hypotheses during a trial, known as "peeking", can also lead to shorter, lower-risk trials…

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