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A longitudinal Bayesian framework for estimating causal dose-response relationships

估计纵向因果剂量反应关系的贝叶斯框架

Existing causal methods for time-varying exposure and time-varying confounding focus on estimating the average causal effect of a time-varying binary treatment on an end-of-study outcome, offering limited tools for characterizing marginal causal dose-response relationships under continuous exposures. We propose a scalable, nonparametric Bayesian framework for estimating marginal longitudinal causal dose-response functions with repeated outcome measurements. Our approach…

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Bayesian hierarchical bootstrap framework for causal subgroup estimation with a time-to-event outcome

事件时间结果因果亚组估计的贝叶斯层级自助框架

Causal estimation of treatment effects within prespecified subgroups, such as biomarker-defined strata, disease phenotypes, or demographic groups are often of clinical interest. Bayesian approaches are attractive for subgroup effect estimation because flexible priors can represent complex treatment heterogeneity and propagate posterior uncertainty. Frequentist methods for prespecified causal subgroup analysis with time-to-event outcomes are also available, including…

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Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis for Causal Estimation with Time-varying Unmeasured Confounding

时变未测量混杂下因果估计的贝叶斯敏感性分析

Causal inference relies on the untestable assumption of no unmeasured confounding. Sensitivity analysis can be used to quantify the impact of unmeasured confounding on causal estimates. Among sensitivity analysis methods proposed in the literature for unmeasured confounding, the latent confounder approach is favoured for its intuitive interpretation via the use of bias parameters to specify the relationship between the observed and unobserved variables and the sensitivity…

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