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保留计量方法研究、相关统计基础,以及实质涉及计量方法的应用、教程、比较和综述。书评、刊务及明确无关内容不公开;身份或相关性证据不足的记录保留待核,补充可靠材料后可重新判断。
预印本来自 arXiv 计量经济学及相关统计、金融分类和主题检索。主题检索从 2021 年起回补;关注作者追溯更早年份,部分历史文献按已核验编号补录。收录不表示通过同行评审,仍可能遗漏。
本库首次提交范围:2004-06-23 — 2026-10-13。
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Raking for estimation and inference in panel models with nonignorable attrition and refreshment

不可忽略流失与补充抽样面板模型中的比例迭代估计与推断

In panel data subject to nonignorable attrition, auxiliary (refreshment) sampling may restore full identification under weak assumptions on the attrition process. Despite their generality, these identification strategies have seen limited empirical use, largely because the implied estimation procedure requires solving a functional minimization problem for the target density. When the distributions of the observed data are parametric, we show that this problem can be solved…

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Granular Instrumental Variables: Estimation and Inference

颗粒工具变量:估计与推断

We develop an estimation and inference framework for granular instrumental variables (GIVs) in models with latent aggregate shocks. Our key insight is that valid GIVs are characterized by the orthogonal complement of the factor-loading space. This characterization yields a feasible procedure for constructing GIVs when factor loadings are unknown and does not require a large cross-sectional dimension. We provide practical procedures for inference and specification testing,…

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Logit-based alternatives to two-stage least squares

基于 Logit 的两阶段最小二乘替代估计量

We propose logit-based IV and augmented logit-based IV estimators that serve as alternatives to the traditionally used 2SLS estimator in the model where both the endogenous treatment variable and the corresponding instrument are binary. Our novel estimators are as easy to compute as the 2SLS estimator but have an advantage over the 2SLS estimator in terms of causal interpretability. In particular, in certain cases where the probability limits of both our estimators and the…

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Model Selection in Panel Data Models: A Generalization of the Vuong Test

面板数据模型选择:Vuong检验的推广

This paper generalizes the classical Vuong (1989) test to panel data models by employing modified profile likelihoods and the Kullback-Leibler information criterion. Unlike the standard likelihood function, the profile likelihood lacks certain regular properties, making modification necessary. We adopt a generalized panel data framework that incorporates group fixed effects for time and individual pairs, rather than traditional individual fixed effects. Applications of our…

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Stratifying on Treatment Status

按处理状态分层抽样下的处理效应估计

We study the estimation of treatment effects using samples stratified by treatment status. Standard estimators of the average treatment effect and the local average treatment effect are inconsistent in this setting. We propose consistent estimators and characterize their asymptotic distributions.

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Overidentification in Shift-Share Designs

份额—冲击设计中的过度识别

This paper studies the testability of identifying restrictions commonly employed to assign a causal interpretation to two stage least squares (TSLS) estimators based on Bartik instruments. For homogeneous effects models applied to short panels, our analysis yields testable implications previously noted in the literature for the two major available identification strategies. We propose overidentification tests for these restrictions that remain valid in high dimensional…

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Efficient Bias Correction for Cross-section and Panel Data

横截面与面板数据的有效偏差校正

Bias correction can often improve the finite sample performance of estimators. We show that the choice of bias correction method has no effect on the higher-order variance of semiparametrically efficient parametric estimators, so long as the estimate of the bias is asymptotically linear. It is also shown that bootstrap, jackknife, and analytical bias estimates are asymptotically linear for estimators with higher-order expansions of a standard form. In particular, we find…

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Some Finite-Sample Results on the Hausman Test

Hausman 检验的若干有限样本结果

This paper shows that the endogeneity test using the control function approach in linear instrumental variable models is a variant of the Hausman test. Moreover, we find that the test statistics used in these tests can be numerically ordered, indicating their relative power properties in finite samples.

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Standard errors when a regressor is randomly assigned

回归变量随机分配时的标准误

We examine asymptotic properties of the OLS estimator when the values of the regressor of interest are assigned randomly and independently of other regressors. We find that the OLS variance formula in this case is often simplified, sometimes substantially. In particular, when the regressor of interest is independent not only of other regressors but also of the error term, the textbook homoskedastic variance formula is valid even if the error term and auxiliary regressors…

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Average and Quantile Effects in Nonseparable Panel Models

非可分面板模型中的平均效应与分位数效应

Nonseparable panel models are important in a variety of economic settings, including discrete choice. This paper gives identification and estimation results for nonseparable models under time homogeneity conditions that are like "time is randomly assigned" or "time is an instrument." Partial identification results for average and quantile effects are given for discrete regressors, under static or dynamic conditions, in fully nonparametric and in semiparametric models, with…

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