Improving Treatment Effect Estimation in Trials through Adaptive Borrowing of External Controls
通过自适应借用外部对照改善试验中的处理效应估计
Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often suffer from limited inferential efficiency in estimating treatment effects due to their small sample sizes. In recent years, incorporating external controls (ECs) has gained increasing attention as an effective way to augment small RCTs and thereby enhance estimation efficiency. However, ECs are not always comparable to RCTs, and direct borrowing without careful evaluation can introduce substantial bias and, paradoxically, undermine…