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Robust Estimation of Moderated Causal Excursion Odds Ratio in Micro-Randomized Trials

微随机试验中调节型因果游离优势比的稳健估计

Micro-randomized trials (MRTs) have become increasingly popular for developing and evaluating mobile health interventions that promote healthy behaviors and manage chronic conditions. The recently proposed causal excursion effects have become the standard measure for interventions' marginal and moderated effect in MRTs. Existing methods for MRTs with binary outcomes focus on causal excursion effects on the relative risk scale. However, a causal excursion effect on the odds…

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Doubly Robust Estimation of Causal Excursion Effects in Micro-Randomized Trials with Missing Longitudinal Outcomes

纵向结果缺失的微随机试验中因果偏离效应的双重稳健估计

Micro-randomized trials (MRTs) are increasingly utilized for optimizing mobile health interventions, with the causal excursion effect (CEE) as a central quantity for evaluating interventions under policies that deviate from the experimental policy. However, MRT often contains missing data due to reasons such as missed self-reports or participants not wearing sensors, which can bias CEE estimation. In this paper, we propose a two-stage, doubly robust estimator for CEE in MRTs…

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Modeling Time-Varying Effects of Mobile Health Interventions Using Longitudinal Functional Data from HeartSteps Micro-Randomized Trial

利用 HeartSteps 微随机试验的纵向函数数据建模移动健康干预的时变效应

To optimize mobile health interventions and advance domain knowledge on intervention design, it is critical to understand how the intervention effect varies over time and with contextual information. This study aims to assess how a push notification suggesting physical activity influences individuals' step counts using data from the HeartSteps micro-randomized trial (MRT). The statistical challenges include the time-varying treatments and longitudinal functional step count…

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