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保留计量方法研究、相关统计基础,以及实质涉及计量方法的应用、教程、比较和综述。书评、刊务及明确无关内容不公开;身份或相关性证据不足的记录保留待核,补充可靠材料后可重新判断。
预印本来自 arXiv 计量经济学及相关统计、金融分类和主题检索。主题检索从 2021 年起回补;关注作者追溯更早年份,部分历史文献按已核验编号补录。收录不表示通过同行评审,仍可能遗漏。
本库首次提交范围:2004-06-23 — 2026-10-14。
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Accuracy Limits of Causal Trees for Individualized Treatment Effects

因果树估计个体化处理效应的精度极限

Recursive decision trees are widely used to estimate heterogeneous causal treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. These methods are typically implemented using CART-type recursive partitioning, with splitting criteria designed to identify variation in treatment effects across covariate-defined subgroups. We study causal tree estimators based on adaptive recursive partitioning and establish lower bounds on their estimation accuracy. The class we analyze…

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Inference with Mondrian Random Forests

Mondrian 随机森林的统计推断

Random forests are popular methods for regression and classification analysis, and many different variants have been proposed in recent years. One interesting example is the Mondrian random forest, in which the underlying constituent trees are constructed via a Mondrian process. We give precise bias and variance characterizations, along with a Berry-Esseen-type central limit theorem, for the Mondrian random forest regression estimator. By combining these results with a…

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Robust Transfer Learning with Unreliable Source Data

源数据不可靠时的稳健迁移学习

This paper addresses challenges in robust transfer learning stemming from ambiguity in Bayes classifiers and weak transferable signals between the target and source distribution. We introduce a novel quantity called the ''ambiguity level'' that measures the discrepancy between the target and source regression functions, propose a simple transfer learning procedure, and establish a general theorem that shows how this new quantity is related to the transferability of learning…

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Convergence Rates of Oblique Regression Trees for Flexible Function Libraries

灵活函数库下斜向回归树的收敛率

We develop a theoretical framework for the analysis of oblique decision trees, where the splits at each decision node occur at linear combinations of the covariates (as opposed to conventional tree constructions that force axis-aligned splits involving only a single covariate). While this methodology has garnered significant attention from the computer science and optimization communities since the mid-80s, the advantages they offer over their axis-aligned counterparts…

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