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Structural Complexity of One-Factor Sparse Portfolio Selection: Exact Algorithms, Parameterized Hardness, and Restricted Circuit Lower Bounds

单因子稀疏投资组合选择的结构复杂性:精确算法、参数化困难性与受限电路下界

We study exact-cardinality, equally weighted minimum-variance portfolio selection under a one-factor covariance model supplied in factor form. In the nonnegative homoskedastic regime, selecting the K smallest loadings is optimal. Allowing strictly positive asset-specific idiosyncratic variances makes the decision problem NP-complete even with positive integer loadings and a strictly positive-definite covariance matrix; with identity residual covariance, exactly one negative…

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A Diagnostics-First Composite Index for Macro-Financial Resilience to Socioeconomic Challenges: The Gondauri Index with Benchmarking and Scenario Evidence

宏观金融韧性的诊断优先综合指数:Gondauri 指数、基准比较与情景证据

In the face of socioeconomic challenges, this paper develops and empirically demonstrates the Gondauri Index (GI) as a reproducible diagnostics-first composite framework for benchmarking macro-financial resilience across heterogeneous economies on a unified 0-100 scale. The GI addresses a key limitation of conventional surveillance dashboards: resilience is multi-dimensional and only partially substitutable, so strength in one area cannot sustainably offset fragility in…

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Forecasting Inflation Based on Hybrid Integration of the Riemann Zeta Function and the FPAS Model (FPAS + $ζ$): Cyclical Flexibility, Socio-Economic Challenges and Shocks, and Comparative Analysis of Models

融合黎曼 Zeta 函数与 FPAS 的通胀预测:周期、冲击与模型比较

Inflation forecasting is a core socio-economic challenge in modern macroeconomic modeling, especially when cyclical, structural, and shock factors act simultaneously. Traditional systems such as FPAS and ARIMA often struggle with cyclical asymmetry and unexpected fluctuations. This study proposes a hybrid framework (FPAS + $ζ$) that integrates a structural macro model (FPAS) with cyclical components derived from the Riemann zeta function $ζ(1/2 + i t)$. Using Georgia's macro…

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Increasing Systemic Resilience to Socioeconomic Challenges: Modeling the Dynamics of Liquidity Flows and Systemic Risks Using Navier-Stokes Equations

用 Navier–Stokes 方程刻画流动性与系统性风险以增强经济韧性

Modern economic systems face unprecedented socioeconomic challenges, making systemic resilience and effective liquidity flow management essential. Traditional models such as CAPM, VaR, and GARCH often fail to reflect real market fluctuations and extreme events. This study develops and validates an innovative mathematical model based on the Navier-Stokes equations, aimed at the quantitative assessment, forecasting, and simulation of liquidity flows and systemic risks. The…

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Impact of R&D and AI Investments on Economic Growth and Credit Rating

研发与人工智能投资对经济增长和信用评级的影响

The research and development (R&D) phase is essential for fostering innovation and aligns with long-term strategies in both public and private sectors. This study addresses two primary research questions: (1) assessing the relationship between R&D investments and GDP through regression analysis, and (2) estimating the economic value added (EVA) that Georgia must generate to progress from a BB to a BBB credit rating. Using World Bank data from 2014-2022, this analysis found…

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