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Nonparametric Bayesian Inference for Partially Identified Discrete Response Models

部分识别离散响应模型的非参数贝叶斯推断

This paper proposes a nonparametric Bayesian inference framework for partially identified discrete response models. The key observation is that these models map a reduced-form conditional choice probability to an identified set. Consequently, nonparametric Bayesian inference for the conditional probability mass function leads to Bayesian inference for the identified set. The inference framework nests conditional moment inequalities and linear systems with unknown…

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Semiparametric Bayesian Inference for a Conditional Moment Equality Model

条件矩等式模型的半参数贝叶斯推断

I propose a semiparametric Bayesian inference framework for conditional moment equalities. The core idea is that these models deterministically map a conditional distribution of data to a structural parameter via the restriction that a conditional expectation equals zero. Consequently, a posterior for the conditional distribution leads to a posterior for the structural parameter by minimizing the distance of the conditional moments to zero. The method has similar flexibility…

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Parametrization, Prior Independence, and the Semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises Theorem for the Partially Linear Model

部分线性模型的参数化、先验独立性与半参数 Bernstein–von Mises 定理

I prove a semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises theorem for a partially linear regression model with independent priors for the low-dimensional parameter of interest and the infinite-dimensional nuisance parameters. My result avoids a challenging prior invariance condition that arises from a loss of information associated with not knowing the nuisance parameter. The key idea is to employ a feasible reparametrization of the partially linear regression model that reflects the…

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A Bayesian Perspective on the Maximum Score Problem

最大得分问题的贝叶斯视角

This paper presents a Bayesian inference framework for a linear index threshold-crossing binary choice model that satisfies a median independence restriction. The key idea is that the model is observationally equivalent to a probit model with nonparametric heteroskedasticity. Consequently, Gibbs sampling techniques from Albert and Chib (1993) and Chib and Greenberg (2013) lead to a computationally attractive Bayesian inference procedure in which a Gaussian process forms a…

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