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Estimating the roughness exponent of stochastic volatility from discrete observations of the integrated variance

从积分方差的离散观测估计随机波动率的粗糙指数

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that measures the so-called roughness exponent of a continuous trajectory, based on discrete observations of its antiderivative. The estimator has a very simple form and can be computed with great efficiency on large data sets. It is not derived…

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On the rate of convergence of estimating the Hurst parameter of rough stochastic volatility models

粗糙随机波动率模型中 Hurst 参数估计的收敛速度

In [Han \& Schied, 2023, \textit{arXiv 2307.02582}], an easily computable scale-invariant estimator $\widehat{\mathscr{R}}^s_n$ was constructed to estimate the Hurst parameter of the drifted fractional Brownian motion $X$ from its antiderivative. This paper extends this convergence result by proving that $\widehat{\mathscr{R}}^s_n$ also consistently estimates the Hurst parameter when applied to the antiderivative of $g \circ X$ for a general nonlinear function $g$. We also…

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The roughness exponent and its model-free estimation

粗糙度指数及其无模型估计

Motivated by pathwise stochastic calculus, we say that a continuous real-valued function $x$ admits the roughness exponent $R$ if the $p^{\text{th}}$ variation of $x$ converges to zero if $p>1/R$ and to infinity if $p<1/R$. For the sample paths of many stochastic processes, such as fractional Brownian motion, the roughness exponent exists and equals the standard Hurst parameter. In our main result, we provide a mild condition on the Faber--Schauder coefficients of $x$ under…

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