Radius selection using kernel density estimation for the computation of nonlinear measures
利用核密度估计选择非线性指标计算中的半径AI 解读 ↓
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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要明确研究有限长度时间信号的非线性指标,并使用模拟系统序列与脑电时间序列评估方法。
利用核密度估计选择非线性指标计算中的半径AI 解读 ↓
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When nonlinear measures are estimated from sampled temporal signals with finite-length, a radius parameter must be carefully selected to avoid a poor estimation. These measures are generally derived from the correlation integral which quantifies the probability of finding neighbors, i.e. pair of points spaced by less than the radius parameter. While each nonlinear measure comes with several specific empirical rules to select a radius value, we provide a systematic selection method. We show that the optimal radius for nonlinear measures can be approximated by the optimal bandwidth of a Kernel Density Estimator (KDE) related to the correlation sum. The KDE framework provides non-parametric tools to approximate a density function from finite samples (e.g. histograms) and optimal methods to select a smoothing parameter, the bandwidth (e.g. bin width in histograms). We use results from KDE to derive a closed-form expression for the optimal radius. The latter is used to compute the correlation dimension and to construct recurrence plots yielding an estimate of Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy. We assess our method through numerical experiments on signals generated by nonlinear systems and experimental electroencephalographic time series.
ARMA 过程谱密度函数的分解
Quasi-periodic oscillations are characterized by fitting Lorentzian functions to a nonparametric estimate of the power spectral density, a two-step procedure that separates estimation from modeling and does not accommodate measurement error. We develop a parametric alternative based on autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) processes observed with measurement error. We derive an exact decomposition of the ARMA spectral density into real-valued components, one for each class of…
检测Copula结构变化的平滑检验方法
This paper develops novel smooth tests for structural changes in the innovation copula of multivariate dynamic models. We characterize deviations from copula constancy through a collection of generalized Fourier coefficients and test their joint significance. Under the null hypothesis, estimation of the dynamic parameters and the unknown marginals has no first-order estimation effect on the proposed statistics. Consequently, the feasible tests based on estimated residuals…
时间序列的高斯过程建模
Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a flexible nonparametric framework for modeling time series through appropriately chosen kernel functions. This chapter introduces the basic formulation of Gaussian processes, commonly used kernels, GP regression, hyperparameter estimation, and model evaluation using in-sample and out-of-sample criteria. Applications to stationary, quasi-periodic, and seasonal time series illustrate how individual and composite kernels can represent different…
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Granger causality is commonly formulated through linear prediction in vector autoregressive models, limiting its ability to detect nonlinear predictive relationships. We propose a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS)-based test for nonlinear Granger non-causality in conditional mean for nonlinear autoregressive processes. The key idea is a conditional-centering decomposition of the target regression function into an own-history component and an orthogonal component…
马尔可夫链混合模型中最优匹配聚类的一致性
We study clustering of categorical sequences using the Optimal Matching (OM) distance under finite mixtures of finite-state Markov chains. We show that the normalized OM distance between two independent chains converges almost surely to a deterministic population quantity, concentrates exponentially around its finite-horizon mean, and admits an $O(\sqrt{\log n/n})$ convergence rate when the two chains have the same transition kernel. These population quantities yield a…