Prior-Informed Generalizable Low-Rank Representation Learning via Regularized Adversarial Reweighting
基于正则化对抗重加权的前验知情可泛化低秩表示学习AI 解读 ↓
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基于正则化对抗重加权的前验知情可泛化低秩表示学习AI 解读 ↓
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Modern learning problems increasingly leverage data from heterogeneous sources to improve robustness and generalizability under distribution shift, often with high-dimensional parameters admitting low-rank structure. Existing group distributionally robust optimization (group-DRO) approaches optimize against adverse source mixtures, but extending this principle to low-rank matrix estimation with a broad class of losses leads to a challenging nonconvex-concave problem for which methods and theory remain limited. We propose Prior-Informed generalizable Low-rank representation Learning via Adversarial Reweighting (PILLAR), which smooths the group-DRO objective by regularizing adversarial source weights toward a user-specified reference distribution while learning a shared low-rank representation. By tempering extreme adversarial reweighting, PILLAR improves estimation stability and reduces the potential conservativeness of group-DRO. Using Burer-Monteiro factorization, we optimize the nonconvex-concave objective by bifactored gradient descent with mirror ascent. We establish linear convergence to a statistical neighborhood of the population saddle point and derive an error bound that separates low-rank estimation from adversarial reweighting. We further show that PILLAR improves on vanilla group DRO when the latter's excess conservativeness dominates source heterogeneity and prior misspecification. Simulations and an electronic health record study of suicide-attempt risk demonstrate improved worst-source and transported predictive accuracy.
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LASSO is one of the most popular regularization methods for high-dimensional regression models. While cointegration is common in practical applications of predictive regressions with many regressors, the convex penalty of LASSO overly suppresses the coefficients of cointegrated regressors and therefore fails to deliver consistent parameter estimation. We employ folded concave penalties (FCP), including the well-known SCAD and MCP, to address this issue. Using FCP, we…
BRP-GABLE:适用于多种结果类型的可解释规则预测框架
Interpretable prediction models are important in biomedical research, where predictive accuracy must often be balanced against the ability to examine predictor-outcome relationships. Automatic Binary Logistic Estimation (ABLE) provides interpretable rule-based representations by constructing additive models using threshold rules. However, the original method is restricted to binary outcomes, and its greedy forward construction follows a search path, making candidate rules…
用于因果推断与模型发现的连续时间集合 Kalman–Bucy 平滑器
Data assimilation (DA) integrates observational information with model predictions to improve state estimation in complex systems. While filtering provides the basis for online forecasts by using only past and present observations, it can exhibit delays and biases when the underlying dynamics evolve rapidly or undergo regime transitions. Smoothing, which additionally incorporates future observations, provides a natural pipeline for hindcasting and reanalysis that yields an…
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用于企业生存预测的高维删失 MIDAS 逻辑回归
This paper addresses the challenge of forecasting corporate distress, a problem marked by three key statistical hurdles: (i) right censoring, (ii) high-dimensional predictors, and (iii) mixed-frequency data. To overcome these complexities, we introduce a novel high-dimensional censored MIDAS (Mixed Data Sampling) logistic regression. Our approach handles censoring through inverse probability weighting and achieves accurate estimation with numerous mixed-frequency predictors…