Inferring Spatial Phylogenetic Variation Along Nucleotide Sequences
核苷酸序列沿线系统发育变异的推断AI 解读 ↓
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核苷酸序列沿线系统发育变异的推断AI 解读 ↓
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We develop a Bayesian multiple changepoint model to infer spatial phylogenetic variation (SPV) along aligned molecular sequence data. SPV occurs in sequences from organisms that have undergone biological recombination or when evolutionary rates and selective pressures vary along the sequences. This Bayesian approach permits estimation of uncertainty regarding recombination, the crossing-over locations, and all other model parameters. The model assumes that the sites along the data separate into an unknown number of contiguous segments, each with possibly different evolutionary relationships between organisms, evolutionary rates, and transition: transversion ratios. We develop a transition kernel, use reversible-jump Markov chain Monte Carlo to fit our model, and draw inference from both simulated and real data. Through simulation, we examine the minimal length recombinant segment that our model can detect for several levels of evolutionary divergence. We examine the entire genome of a reported human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-1 isolate, related to a purported recombinant virus thought to be the causative agent of an epidemic outbreak of HIV-1 infection among intravenous drug users in Russia. We find that regions of the genome differ in their evolutionary history and selective pressures. There is strong evidence for multiple crossovers along the genome and frequent shifts in selective pressure changes throughout the vif through env genes.
植被绿度驱动因素的空间变量选择:面向 MODIS 植被指数
Understanding how environmental drivers relate to vegetation condition motivates spatially varying regression models, but estimating a separate coefficient surface for every predictor can yield noisy patterns and poor interpretability when many predictors are irrelevant. Motivated by MODIS vegetation index studies, we examine predictors from spectral bands, productivity and energy fluxes, observation geometry, and land surface characteristics. Because these relationships…
地理加性生存模型
Survival data often contain small-area geographical or spatial information, such as the residence of individuals. In many cases, the impact of such spatial effects on hazard rates is of considerable substantive interest. Therefore, extensions of known survival or hazard rate models to spatial models have been suggested. Mostly, a spatial component is added to the usual linear predictor of the Cox model. In this article flexible continuous-time geoadditive models are…
RBF 核高斯过程最大似然估计的精确渐近理论
Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used across machine learning, spatial statistics, time-series analysis, optimization, Bayesian statistics, and scientific applications. A central component of a GP model is its kernel, which is typically specified through a parametric family. Among the most widely used choices is the radial basis function (RBF), also known as the squared exponential or Gaussian kernel, owing to its simple form, smoothness, and flexibility. In practice, the…
空间相关函数数据的小波贝叶斯层级模型与正则化马蹄先验
Environmental monitoring networks increasingly record pollutant levels as curves observed over time at fixed stations. Yet, exposure and risk assessment often require predicting these curves, with their uncertainty, at unmonitored locations. Conventional smooth-basis methods for such spatially correlated functional data, including spline-based kriging, tend to over-smooth acute, high-frequency episodes such as pollution peaks. We propose a parsimonious wavelet-based Bayesian…
双参数泊松–狄利克雷隐马尔可夫模型的准共轭精确推断
We introduce a nonparametric model for inferring time-evolving, unobserved probability distributions from discrete-time data consisting of unlabelled partitions. The latent process is a two-parameter Poisson–Dirichlet diffusion, and observations arise via exchangeable sampling. Applications include social and genetic data where only aggregate clustering summaries are observed.To address the intractable likelihood, we develop a tractable inferential framework that avoids…
函数形式灵活建模中协变量测量误差的校正方法:一项盲法、受控的中立比较模拟研究
Covariate measurement error is pervasive in epidemiological research and distorts estimated exposure-outcome associations, yet correction methods have been studied almost exclusively under linear modelling assumptions. Their behaviour when the underlying association is non-linear and is itself estimated with flexible regression, remains poorly characterised. We report a blinded, multi-stage neutral comparison simulation study, conducted within the STRATOS initiative,…