Causal Models for Longitudinal and Panel Data: A Survey
纵向与面板数据的因果模型:综述AI 解读 ↓
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纵向与面板数据的因果模型:综述AI 解读 ↓
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In this survey we discuss the recent causal panel data literature. This recent literature has focused on credibly estimating causal effects of binary interventions in settings with longitudinal data, emphasizing practical advice for empirical researchers. It pays particular attention to heterogeneity in the causal effects, often in situations where few units are treated and with particular structures on the assignment pattern. The literature has extended earlier work on difference-in-differences or two-way-fixed-effect estimators. It has more generally incorporated factor models or interactive fixed effects. It has also developed novel methods using synthetic control approaches.
Summary In this survey we discuss the recent causal panel data literature. This recent literature has focused on credibly estimating causal effects of binary interventions in settings with longitudinal data, emphasising practical advice for empirical researchers. It pays particular attention to heterogeneity in the causal effects, often in situations where few units are treated and with particular structures on the assignment pattern. The literature has extended earlier work…
In this paper, we investigate the use of interactive effect or linear factor models in regional policy evaluation. We contrast treatment effect estimates obtained using Bai (2009) with those obtained using difference in differences and synthetic controls (Abadie and coauthors). We show that difference in differences are generically biased, and we derive support conditions for synthetic controls. We construct Monte Carlo experiments to compare these estimation methods in…
异质性面板数据模型的估计及其在项目评估中的应用
This article studies panel data models with two-dimensional unobserved slope heterogeneity and interactive fixed effects. We propose a two-step approach to estimate the parameters in the model. We apply the proposed model to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects at both individual and aggregate levels. Monte Carlo simulations show that the proposed estimators perform remarkably well in finite samples in comparison with some existing methods such as the synthetic control…
三重稳健面板估计量
ABSTRACT This paper studies estimation of causal effects in a panel data setting. We introduce a new estimator, the Triply Robust Panel (TROP) estimator, that combines a flexible model for the potential outcomes based on a low‐rank factor structure on top of a two‐way‐fixed effect specification, with unit weights intended to upweight units similar to the treated units and time weights intended to upweight time periods close to the treated time periods. We study the…
三重稳健面板估计量
This paper studies estimation of causal effects in a panel data setting. We introduce a new estimator, the Triply RObust Panel (TROP) estimator, that combines (i) a flexible model for the potential outcomes based on a low-rank factor structure on top of a two-way-fixed effect specification, with (ii) unit weights intended to upweight units similar to the treated units and (iii) time weights intended to upweight time periods close to the treated time periods. We study the…
加权平行趋势下截距平移合成控制估计量的一致性
The average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) in a staggered-adoption panel is estimated using an intercept-augmented synthetic-control (SCM) estimator. A weighted parallel trends plus an intercept shift, together with mild regularity on the weight vectors (non-degenerate dispersion) and expanding pre-treatment length, are sufficient for consistency allowing for heavy-tailed shocks. These conditions can be more interpretable than the autoregressive or low-rank factor…