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面板数据:固定效应、动态面板、异质性与潜在分组。
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Computational Methods for Multiplicative Intensity Models Using Weighted Gamma Processes

基于加权伽马过程的乘法强度模型计算方法

We develop computational procedures for a class of Bayesian nonparametric and semiparametric multiplicative intensity models incorporating kernel mixtures of spatial weighted gamma measures. A key feature of our approach is that explicit expressions for posterior distributions of these models share many common structural features with the posterior distributions of Bayesian hierarchical models using the Dirichlet process. Using this fact, along with an approximation for the…

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GMM Estimation of Autoregressive Roots Near Unity with Panel Data

This paper investigates a generalized method of moments (GMM) approach to the estimation of autoregressive roots near unity with panel data and incidental deterministic trends. Such models arise in empirical econometric studies of firm size and in dynamic panel data modeling with weak instruments. The two moment conditions in the GMM approach are obtained by constructing bias corrections to the score functions under OLS and GLS detrending, respectively. It is shown that the…

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Bayesian geoadditive modelling of breastfeeding initiation in Nigeria

尼日利亚母乳喂养启动时间的贝叶斯地理加性建模

Abstract A study into the geographical variability of timing of initial child breastfeeding after birth was carried out with the data set from the 1999 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey. The effect of the metrical covariate of the mother's age at birth was assumed to be nonlinear and estimated nonparametrically. Other categorical covariates are estimated in the usual parametric form. Within a Bayesian context, appropriate priors are assigned for the geographical…

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More powerful panel data unit root tests with an application to mean reversion in real exchange rates

更高功效的面板单位根检验及其实际汇率均值回复应用

Abstract Unit root tests, seeking mean or trend reversion, are frequently applied to panel data. We show that more powerful variants of commonly applied tests are readily available. Moreover, power gains persist when the modifications are applied to bootstrap procedures that may be employed when cross‐correlation of a rather general sort among individual panel members is suspected. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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When to Control for Covariates? Panel Asymptotics for Estimates of Treatment Effects

何时应控制协变量?处理效应估计的面板式渐近分析

The problem of when to control for continuous or high-dimensional discrete covariate vectors arises in both experimental and observational studies. Large-cell asymptotic arguments suggest that full control for covariates or stratification variables is always efficient, even if treatment is assigned independently of covariates or strata. Here, we approximate the behavior of different estimators using a panel-data-type asymptotic sequence with fixed cell sizes and the number…

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04.1.1. A Hausman Test Based on the Difference between Fixed Effects Two-Stage Least Squares and Error Components Two-Stage Least Squares

04.1.1 基于固定效应与误差成分两阶段最小二乘差异的 Hausman 检验

A Hausman test based on the difference between fixed effects two-stage least squares and error components two-stage least squares.

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Higher Order Properties of Gmm and Generalized Empirical Likelihood Estimators

GMM 与广义经验似然估计量的高阶性质

In an effort to improve the small sample properties of generalized method of mo-ments (GMM) estimators, a number of alternative estimators have been suggested. These include empirical likelihood (EL), continuous updating, and exponential tilt-ing estimators. We show that these estimators share a common structure, being members of a class of generalized empirical likelihood (GEL) estimators. We use this structure to compare their higher order asymptotic properties. We find…

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Income Variance Dynamics and Heterogeneity

收入方差动态与异质性

Recent theoretical work has shown the importance of measuring microeconomic uncertainty for models of both general and partial equilibrium under imperfect insurance. In this paper the assumption of i.i.d. income innovations used in previous empirical studies is removed and the focus of the analysis is placed on models for the conditional variance of income shocks, which is related to the measure of risk emphasized by the theory. We first discriminate amongst various models…

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Financial Constraints and Farm Investment

融资约束与农场投资

This study contributes to the q-based empirical investment literature by using a Bayesian approach to analyze the impact of internal financial variables on a q-based investment model, accounting specifically for variable selection and incorporating outliers explicitly within the advocated modeling framework. For the balanced panel analyzed, a farm's liquidity situation is found to affect its investment significantly. Incorporation of an outlier detection component changes…

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A hybrid estimator in nonlinear and generalised linear mixed effects models

非线性及广义线性混合效应模型的混合估计方法

A hybrid method that combines Laplace's approximation and Monte Carlo simulations to evaluate integrals in the likelihood function is proposed for estimation of the parameters in nonlinear mixed effects models that assume a normal parametric family for the random effects. Simulations show that these parametric estimates of fixed effects are close to the nonparametric estimates even though the mixing distribution is far from the assumed normal parametric family. An asymptotic…

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Nonparametric estimation of large covariance matrices of longitudinal data

纵向数据大规模协方差矩阵的非参数估计

Estimation of an unstructured covariance matrix is difficult because of its positive‐definiteness constraint. This obstacle is removed by regressing each variable on its predecessors, so that estimation of a covariance matrix is shown to be equivalent to that of estimating a sequence of varying‐coefficient and varying‐order regression models. Our framework is similar to the use of increasing‐order autoregressive models in approximating the covariance matrix or the spectrum…

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Bayesian inference for the mover–stayer model in continuous time with an application to labour market transition data

连续时间流动者—留驻者模型的贝叶斯推断及劳动市场转移应用

Abstract This paper presents Bayesian inference procedures for the continuous time mover–stayer model applied to labour market transition data collected in discrete time. These methods allow us to derive the probability of embeddability of the discrete‐time modelling with the continuous‐time one. A special emphasis is put on two alternative procedures, namely the importance sampling algorithm and a new Gibbs sampling algorithm. Transition intensities, proportions of stayers…

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Rank-based regression with repeated measurements data

重复测量数据的秩回归

A rank‐based regression method is proposed for repeated measurements data. It is a generalisation of the classical Wilcoxon–Mann–Whitney rank statistic for independent observations. The method is valid under a weak condition on the error terms that can accommodate certain heteroscedasticity and within‐subject dependency. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is proved using empirical process theory. A variance estimator, shown to be consistent, is also…

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Dynamic Latent Trait Models for Multidimensional Longitudinal Data

多维纵向数据的动态潜在特质模型

This article presents a new approach for analysis of multidimensional longitudinal data, motivated by studies using an item response battery to measure traits of an individual repeatedly over time. A general modeling framework is proposed that allows mixtures of count, categorical, and continuous response variables. Each response is related to age-specific latent traits through a generalized linear model that accommodates item-specific measurement errors. A transition model…

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Frequency of Recurrent Events at Failure Time

终止事件发生时的复发事件频次

Recurrent events arise in many longitudinal medical studies where time to a terminal event or failure is the primary endpoint. With incomplete follow-up data, the analysis of recurrent events is a challenge owing to their association with the failure. One specific quantity of interest rarely addressed in the statistical literature is the recurrence frequency at the failure time; an example is hospitalization frequency, which is often used as a rough measure of lifetime…

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Does peer ability affect student achievement?

同伴能力是否影响学生成绩?

Abstract Empirical analysis of peer effects on student achievement has been open to question because of the difficulties of separating peer effects from other confounding influences. While most econometric attention has been directed at issues of simultaneous determination of peer interactions, we argue that issues of omitted and mismeasured variables are likely to be more important. We control for the most important determinants of achievement that will confound peer…

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The Time Series and Cross-Section Asymptotics of Dynamic Panel Data Estimators

动态面板数据估计量的时间维度与截面维度渐近性质

In this paper we derive the asymptotic properties of within groups (WG), GMM, and LIML estimators for an autoregressive model with random effects when both T and N tend to infinity. GMM and LIML are consistent and asymptotically equivalent to the WG estimator. When T/N→ 0 the fixed T results for GMM and LIML remain valid, but WG, although consistent, has an asymptotic bias in its asymptotic distribution. When T/N tends to a positive constant, the WG, GMM, and LIML estimators…

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A Stochastic Frontier Analysis of Financing Constraints on Investment

融资约束影响投资的随机前沿分析

is shown that investment under financing constraints can be modeled as a one-sided deviation from a frictionless investment level, and that effects of financing constraints can be identified and quantified by imposing a distributional assumption on the effects. Panel data on Taiwanese manufacturing firms between 1989 and 1996 are used in the estimation. It is found that (1) some of the sorting criteria used in the literature do not have significant and monotonic…

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