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经瞬时变换的平稳时间序列推断AI 解读

The paper is about an approach for parametric inference on instantaneously transformed stationary processes. The paper discusses the asymptotics of the Whittle estimator of the parameters involved and also provides the explicit expression of the asymptotic covariance matrix which does not necessarily require the innovation Gaussianity assumption. As a specific instantaneous transformation, the paper introduces a new version of the Box-Cox transformation and investigates in…

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长程依赖的极限理论及相关模型的统计推断AI 解读

This paper provides limit theorems for multivariate, possibly non-Gaussian stationary processes whose spectral density matrices may have singularities not restricted at the origin, applying those limiting results to the asymptotic theory of parameter estimation and testing for statistical models of long-range dependent processes. The central limit theorems are proved based on the assumption that the innovations of the stationary processes satisfy certain mixing conditions…

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辅助性与联立方程中单个结构方程的有限信息最大似然估计AI 解读

The concepts of the curved exponential family of distributions and ancillarity are applied to estimation problems of a single structural equation in a simultaneous equation model, and the effect of conditioning on ancillary statistics on the limited information maximum-likelihood (LIML) estimator is investigated. The asymptotic conditional covariance matrix of the LIML estimator conditioned on the second-order asymptotic maximal ancillary statistic is shown to be efficiently…

层级统计模型与广义似然比检验AI 解读

SUMMARY This paper deals with statistical inference for statistical models which have a nested structure. The emphasis here is on the use of a classical test of significance and on a confidence set construction approach for model identification, and the paper proposes a generalized likelihood ratio test with equal marginal error rate as a basic tool. The power performance of this test is characterized and some applications are illustrated.

平稳线性过程极限定理的括号条件AI 解读

This paper aims at improvement in regularity conditions on spectral densities for the limit theorems of the quasi maximum-likelihood estimator and the quasi likelihood-ratio statistic. The approach parallels the Daniels-Huber-Pollard proofs of central limit theorems under nonstandard conditions for i.i.d. situations. The results of the paper enable one to dispense with excessive regularity conditions on the spectral density.

The paper presents general second-order approximate formulae for the Fisher information of asymptotically normal statistics, and applies the formulae to a stationary time-series model as well as to an econometric simultaneous equation model. Also the second-order conditional information is evaluated for the exponential family and the location family. Conditioned on a second-order ancillary statistic, the second-order information loss of the maximum likelihood estimate is…

二阶 Fisher 信息AI 解读

The paper presents general second-order approximate formulae for the Fisher information of asymptotically normal statistics, and applies the formulae to a stationary time-series model as well as to an econometric simultaneous equation model. Also the second-order conditional information is evaluated for the exponential family and the location family. Conditioned on a second-order ancillary statistic, the second-order information loss of the maximum likelihood estimate is…

A central limit theorem is proved for the sample covariances of a linear process. The sufficient conditions for the theorem are described by more natural ones than usual. We apply this theorem to the parameter estimation of a fitted spectral model, which does not necessarily include the true spectral density of the linear process. We also deal with estimation problems for an autoregressive signal plus white noise. A general result is given for efficiency of Newton-Raphson…

线性过程估计的高阶效率AI 解读

Estimation as a reduction of data is usually accompanied by some loss of information. This paper theoretically compares asymptotically efficient estimation methods for parameters in Gaussian linear processes. By means of the concept of "asymptotic information loss" suitably defined, estimates equivalent to the order of $N^{-\frac{1}{2}}$ are differentiated. This problem was studied by C. R. Rao for multinomial distributions and by K. Takeuchi for the exponential family of…

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